The Market Efficiency of Socially Responsible Indices in India
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.56225/ijfeb.v2i4.249Keywords:
Efficient market hypothesis, Environmental, social and governance, Socially responsible investment, Socially responsible indicesAbstract
Socially Responsible Indices allow investors to invest in those companies which are deemed to be socially responsible. These indices comprise those constituent companies screened and assessed for environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria. This paper analyses the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) for socially responsible investment indices in India. The authors used the daily closing price of two indices, Carbonex and Greenex, from June 3, 2013, to December 31, 2022. This study conducted Augmented Dickey Fuller, normality, and autocorrelation tests to analyse the randomness of prices and test whether the future price can be predicted using the past price. The weak form theory of the efficient market hypothesis is violated if the returns are not random and dependent on past returns, thereby enabling investors to gain abnormal returns by extrapolating the past data. The research results suggest that the theory of weak form of efficient market hypothesis is valid for Carbonex and Greenex, which are the socially responsible indices of India. It implies that the future movement of returns for socially responsible investment indices in India cannot be predicted from past prices. Therefore, the opportunity to gain abnormal returns is not possible.
References
Angelovska, J. (2018). Testing Weak Form of Stock Market Efficiency at the Macedonian Stock Exchange. UTMS Journal of Economics, 9(2), 133–144.
Antoniou, A., Ergul, N., & Holmes, P. (1997). Market Efficiency, Thin Trading and Non‐linear Behaviour: Evidence from an Emerging Market. European Financial Management, 3(2), 175–190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036X.00038
Claessens, S., Dasgupta, S., & Glen, J. (1995). Return Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets. The World Bank Economic Review, 9(1), 131–151. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/9.1.131
Daskalakis, G., & Markellos, R. N. (2008). Are the European carbon markets efficient. Review of Futures Markets, 17(2), 103–128.
Dockery, E., & Kavussanos, M. G. (1996). Testing the efficient market hypothesis using panel data, with application to the Athens stock market. Applied Economics Letters, 3(2), 121–123. https://doi.org/10.1080/135048596356834
Emenike, K. O., & Kirabo, J. K. B. (2018). Empirical evaluation of weak-form efficient market hypothesis in Ugandan securities exchange. Journal Оf Contemporary Economic Аnd Business, 5(1), 35–50.
Fama, E. F. (1965). The behavior of stock-market prices. The Journal of Business, 38(1), 34–105.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417. https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486
Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II. The Journal of Finance, 46(5), 1575–1617. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.x
Fama, E. F. (1998). Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283–306. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00026-9
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1995). Size and Book‐to‐Market Factors in Earnings and Returns. The Journal of Finance, 50(1), 131–155. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb05169.x
Fama, E. F., Kenneth, R. F., David, G. B., & Rex, S. (1965). Financial Analysts Journal. Random Walks in Stock Market Prices.
Gilbertson, B. P., & Roux, F. J. P. (1978). Some further comments on The Johannesburg Stock Exchange as an efficient market. Investment Analysts Journal, 7(11), 21–31. https://doi.org/10.1080/10293523.1978.11082609
Hamid, K., Suleman, M. T., Ali Shah, S. Z., & Imdad Akash, R. S. (2010). Testing the weak form of efficient market hypothesis: Empirical evidence from Asia-Pacific markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 58, 121–133. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2912908
Hassan, M. K., & Girard, E. (2011). Faith-based ethical investing: the case of Dow Jones Islamic indexes. Networks Financial Institute Working Paper, 19(4), 1–41.
Hawaldar, I. T., Rohit, B., & Pinto, P. (2017). Testing of weak form of efficient market hypothesis: evidence from the Bahrain Bourse. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 14(2), 376–385.
Kendall, M. G., & Hill, A. B. (1953). The Analysis of Economic Time-Series-Part I: Prices. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 116(1), 11–34. https://doi.org/10.2307/2980947
Lee, W. Y., Jiang, C. X., & Indro, D. C. (2002). Stock market volatility, excess returns, and the role of investor sentiment. Journal of Banking & Finance, 26(12), 2277–2299. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(01)00202-3
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1988). Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test. Review of Financial Studies, 1(1), 41–66. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/1.1.41
Malkiel, B. G. (2003). The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59–82. https://doi.org/10.1257/089533003321164958
Maverick, A. (2020). Henry J. Raymond and the New York Press for Thirty Years. BoD–Books on Demand.
Miclăuş, P. G., Lupu, R., Dumitrescu, S. A., & Bobircă, A. (2008). Testing the efficiency of the European carbon futures market using event-study methodology. International Journal of Energy and Environment, 2(2), 121–128.
Milunovich, G., & Joyeux, R. (2007). Testing market efficiency and price discovery in European carbon markets.
Njuguna, J. (2016). Testing the efficient market hypothesis on the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 13(3), 75–83.
Sandberg, J., Juravle, C., Hedesström, T. M., & Hamilton, I. (2009). The Heterogeneity of Socially Responsible Investment. Journal of Business Ethics, 87(4), 519–533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-008-9956-0
Sarkar, R. (2019). Testing Weak Form Of Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH): Empirical Evidence From Leading Stock Exchanges In India. International Journal on Recent Trends in Business and Tourism, 3(3), 64–69.
Seyhun, H. N. (1986). Insiders’ profits, costs of trading, and market efficiency. Journal of Financial Economics, 16(2), 189–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(86)90060-7
Shmilovici, A., Alon-Brimer, Y., & Hauser, S. (2003). Using a stochastic complexity measure to check the efficient market hypothesis. Computational Economics, 22, 273–284.
Singh, A. (1997). Financial Liberalisation, Stockmarkets and Economic Development. The Economic Journal, 107(442), 771–782. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.1997.tb00042.x
Šonje, V., Alajbeg, D., & Bubaš, Z. (2011). Efficient market hypothesis: is the Croatian stock market as (in) efficient as the US market. Financial Theory and Practice, 35(3), 301–326.
Tokić, S., Bolfek, B., & Peša, A. R. (2018). Testing efficient market hypothesis in developing Eastern European countries. Investment Management & Financial Innovations, 15(2), 281–291.
Wuyts, G. (2007). Stock market liquidity: Determinants and implications. Review of Business and Economics, 52(2), 279–316.
Yang, J.-S., Kwak, W., Kaizoji, T., & Kim, I. (2008). Increasing market efficiency in the stock markets. The European Physical Journal B, 61(2), 241–246. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2008-00050-0
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Authors
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Copyright @2022. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits unrestricted to copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format, remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.